I’ve been paging through files from 2012 Virginia chases and found this photo taken June 22nd just after 6:00 p.m. south of Moneta that shows what may have been a wall cloud earlier in the storm’s cycle (the lowering to the right of the rain shaft at l…
Could’ve chased in Hawaii today! Radar shows a pretty decent storm over southern Oahu…something that doesn’t happen all that often. When the chase season is truly over and done with we chasers look for anything to distract us.
Forecast models I quoted in the last post were a bit faster with the cold front’s progression, leading to this setup that some folks out that way are chasing today. At the moment it looks like this front will cross Virginia Monday night so convec…
To answer the post title…not so much here in Virginia, but perhaps in Texas. This GFS forecast graphic for Sunday afternoon (Veterans’ Day) shows a significant amount of CAPE – i.e. instability – along the I-35 corridor from Oklahoma City down …
Following the “Frankenstorm” the overall weather pattern has shifted to one holding a long wave trough entrenched over the eastern half of the U.S. with an accompanying parade of upper level short waves. Both the Euro and the GFS models develop a…
I said to my son as we watched the last dissipating cell Thursday evening: “If this had been June or July I wouldn’t even have considered chasing today. But since it’s mid-October and the chase season is almost over…”. Yes the setup…
Well, I was all prepared to blow off a chase today given the weak wording in the SPC’s Day 1 convective outlook and similar doubts in the NWS Blacksburg forecast discussion…and then I looked at four short range models. The HRRR (High Resolution…
I’m definitely not holding my breath but the next system rolling across the country is taking a decidedly negative tilt resulting in some impressive shear across the Old Dominion Thursday. The 0Z NAM is showing the following values for 0-1 km hel…
The cold front that provided a major chasing “BUST” in the Great Plains yesterday (after all the crowing online about how a “tornado outbreak” was on the docket) continues its march eastward and will arrive here in Virginia tomorrow, i.e. Monday. …
If I was primed and ready for a long distance chase I’d be in the Texas Panhandle right now awaiting storms to fire. After dark I’d head northeastward into eastern Kansas for what is being touted in the chaser world as an autumn tornado outbreak …
