The setup for Wednesday morning is beginning to get interesting. Granted, whatever storms may be forced by the approaching cold front will occur near daybreak, but the shear values are impressive as well as the available moisture. I may hav…
Not bad for a November setup! Wish I could chase something like that here in the Mid-Atlantic during daylight hours…all in rural areas, of course.
There will be a strong cold front passing through the area this week…just not at the right time. The cold front looks to sweep through here early Friday morning, the worst possible time for instability. The next front will blast through h…
The models are still showing a strong cold front passing through here next week, but the two big questions are (a) timing and (b) instability. So far no CAPE is evident in the forecasts, altho’ speed shear seems abundant. And the timing is …
The VERY long range GFS model forecast indicates a mass of cold air will swoop south out of western Canada the weekend before Thanksgiving. That said, the trajectory and timing could provide a strong November cold frontal passage through the Mid-…
I’ve been haunting the forecast models for even a hint of chaseable storms and all I see is a cold frontal passage through the Mid-Atlantic early next Saturday morning. The forecast mixed layer CAPE (instability) is minimal, the time of day is al…
I just noticed something in this pic from the 27 October storm near Fredericksburg. Take a look at the sign circled in blue on the left edge of the photo. There is both a “Beware of the Dog” sign and a “No Trespassing” sign…but nothing ab…
This is the GFS forecast graphic for two weeks from today, and it shows a setup that could allow another round of severe weather to roll through the Mid-Atlantic. I know, I know, this is way too far out to count on anything like this to act…
This velocity radar grab (courtesy of Weather Underground) shows the low level rotation in the storm relative to my position at the red “X”. This was just before I pulled up stakes and moved a couple miles eastward to get…
The incredible storm system that created weather warnings over more than half of the 50 states created its own local havoc in the Fredericksburg area today. Even as I write this another tornado warning is underway for King George County, but it’s…
