Author Archive

No dice today, and probably not Thursday either

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 28th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

Storms happened at all points of the compass with respect to the Fredericksburg area, but absolutely nothing occurred within chasing distance.  In fact, we missed out on most of the rain that dumped copious amounts of moisture around the region, b…



Still possible for Tuesday

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 25th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

Although this graphic doesn’t look as hopeful as the previous post’s there still may be a chance for some Tuesday boomers here.  If the cold frontal passage is phased with peak heating that afternoon I might get another lease on chasing life this …



Tuesday looks like a possibility as of now

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 23rd, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

With an upper level low forecast to be meandering around the southeastern U.S. early next week the prospects of a chase opportunity are beginning to peek around the corner.  This MLCAPE graphic for Tuesday afternoon indicates enough instability t…



Severe TS watch all for naught

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 22nd, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

The toilet bowl struck again:Most of the really good convection happened well north and well south of our area as seen in the above radar grab.  There was a nice lee trough just east of the Blue Ridge that fired a couple of really nice warned cell…



Perhaps tomorrow?

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 21st, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

This 4 km WRF radar view for 6:00 pm tomorrow shows a significant line of storms crossing the Northern VA area.  They look somewhat chaseable, but I have yet to find significant support from other models for these storms (altho’ there are hints of…



No news lately

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Sep 13th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

The 2010 chase season is rapidly closing out with a whimper given the extended drought conditions the Mid-Atlantic is undergoing.  We haven’t had enough rain to fill a teacup in recent weeks, much less any chaseable storms.  And given the pro…



Blog posts will continue, but venue will change

By From http://fburg-weather.blogspot.com/ • Aug 31st, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

I appreciate the readers who have been kind enough to read this blog at this website.  Starting tomorrow (September 1st) I will continue to post over at this site if you’d care to follow along.  Thanks again!



Odds of a tropically-influenced chase?

By From http://stormsrus.blogspot.com/ • Aug 30th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

2004 Remington VA F3 tornado from remnants of Ivan Given the parade of disturbances emerging off the African coast and trudging across the Atlantic we may yet get a chance at chasing the remnants of a tropical system.  Two successful such chases t…



Will Earl provide us with or hinder us from getting rain?

By From http://fburg-weather.blogspot.com/ • Aug 30th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

That’s a very real question given the current synoptic setup.  With the dry high pressure currently overhead we’ll be lucky to even see clouds the next couple of days, much less some needed rain.  Then Earl approaches the East Coast the latte…



Bad news, good news about Earl

By From http://fburg-weather.blogspot.com/ • Aug 29th, 2010 • Category: Blog Entries.Local

The bad news:  Earl is forecast to become a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher).  The good news:  the forecast track has shifted to the east, which would steer Earl between the Outer Banks and Bermuda.  Given this scenario it cou…