Storms happened at all points of the compass with respect to the Fredericksburg area, but absolutely nothing occurred within chasing distance. In fact, we missed out on most of the rain that dumped copious amounts of moisture around the region, b…
Although this graphic doesn’t look as hopeful as the previous post’s there still may be a chance for some Tuesday boomers here. If the cold frontal passage is phased with peak heating that afternoon I might get another lease on chasing life this …
With an upper level low forecast to be meandering around the southeastern U.S. early next week the prospects of a chase opportunity are beginning to peek around the corner. This MLCAPE graphic for Tuesday afternoon indicates enough instability t…
The toilet bowl struck again:Most of the really good convection happened well north and well south of our area as seen in the above radar grab. There was a nice lee trough just east of the Blue Ridge that fired a couple of really nice warned cell…
This 4 km WRF radar view for 6:00 pm tomorrow shows a significant line of storms crossing the Northern VA area. They look somewhat chaseable, but I have yet to find significant support from other models for these storms (altho’ there are hints of…
The 2010 chase season is rapidly closing out with a whimper given the extended drought conditions the Mid-Atlantic is undergoing. We haven’t had enough rain to fill a teacup in recent weeks, much less any chaseable storms. And given the pro…
I appreciate the readers who have been kind enough to read this blog at this website. Starting tomorrow (September 1st) I will continue to post over at this site if you’d care to follow along. Thanks again!
2004 Remington VA F3 tornado from remnants of Ivan Given the parade of disturbances emerging off the African coast and trudging across the Atlantic we may yet get a chance at chasing the remnants of a tropical system. Two successful such chases t…
That’s a very real question given the current synoptic setup. With the dry high pressure currently overhead we’ll be lucky to even see clouds the next couple of days, much less some needed rain. Then Earl approaches the East Coast the latte…
The bad news: Earl is forecast to become a major hurricane (Category 3 or higher). The good news: the forecast track has shifted to the east, which would steer Earl between the Outer Banks and Bermuda. Given this scenario it cou…
