Wow! Talk about living in a sauna…I knew it was humid the instant I stepped outside this morning, but I had no idea how bad it would get! The dewpoint at the Stafford Regional Airport was over 80 degrees F until the most recent report (it…
This GFS model forecast map shows us in the triple digit range again next Tuesday; the forecast for the day before this looks remarkably similar. The only factor that might prevent this eastward expansion of the heat dome currently over the south…
Today’s high at Shannon Airport was 78 degrees F, quite a break from the heat of the past two weeks! Enjoy it because starting tomorrow the winds shift around to the south/southwest as high pressure slides off the coast and begins pumping warmer …
Tomorrow looks like we might be lucky enough to see some rain given an easterly flow off the Atlantic due to weak surface high pressure wedging down the east side of the Blue Ridge…a summertime example of cold air damming without the cold air. …
This article provides a pretty clear explanation of the unusual link between El Nino and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) that caused the tremendous snows in our area this past winter. The last time the NAO was similar to this past winter was…
So far we’ve missed the storms that have passed through the area. Several prolific rain producers formed just east of town and tracked away from us, but there are a few more cells still off to the north and west that may yet find their way to us….
For various reasons I’ve been off the Fredericksburg Weather grid for the past few days and am just now returning to it. Thank goodness for the relief from the triple digit heat of the past weekend. Even though today was uncomfortably hot a…
I did give chase to a convective line this afternoon…AFTER I verified that at least some storms survived their Appalachian crossing. Unfortunately the portion of this line – associated with a front that dropped Shannon Airport’s temperature int…
Today’s high at Shannon Airport was 103 degrees F, with a dewpoint of 77. That works out to a heat index of 120 degrees! Not only that, but the air temperature was in the triple digits from the 12:37 pm observation to the 7:17 pm observatio…
A frontal passage tomorrow will trigger some strong storms sometime during the afternoon, and based upon the above graphical depiction of the available mixed layer CAPE (instability) and a quick review of forecast wind profiles I agree with the SPC tha…
