This forecast graphic for next Thursday morning shows a strangely persistent low pressure system hanging off the Carolina coastline. There are a few low-level mutterings beginning among East Coast forecasters regarding a (small) potential for thi…
CAD = Cold Air Damming. That’s when a high pressure system sets up shop over New England and oozes down the Atlantic seaboard, forcing cool moist Atlantic air up against the mountains (e.g. Blue Ridge here in Virginia). The resulting weathe…
The Hokie Stormchase team learned first hand yesterday how crazy Oklahoma storm chasing can be these days. They were part of a veritable circus of chasers out for the SPC High Risk and PDS (potentially dangerous situation) tornado watch issued fo…
There aren’t any strong forecast signatures for organized convection for the next week or so. Saturday and Sunday have some limited potential, but as of this morning’s model runs the upper level support is weak to non-existent. May is usual…
It looks like we’re finally going to be blessed with a significant amount of widespread rain the next few days. This graphic is for 8:00 am Tuesday morning and shows the results of a low pressure system that is forecast to form over southeast Vir…
My 2010 chase season just can’t seem to catch on all cylinders yet. I was in DC for a meeting yesterday afternoon and so had to fight the Friday traffic back home while keeping a weather eye out for convective towers. Upon arriving home jus…
Don’t know if anyone cares but I’ve noticed my frequency of posting here on Fredericksburg Weather has dropped off significantly since the spring storm chase season arrived. I suspect that will continue to be the case, altho’ I will strive to kee…
Looks like the front that pushed through here last night and cooled temperatures considerably will be grinding its way northward again in response to a eastward tracking surface low that looks to head well north of the Northern VA area. This will…
This just isn’t fair! Look at severe indications both north and south of the Northern VA area…and you can ignore the one marker NW of Fredericksburg as it must have been a mistake. All I’m seeing at the moment is gray overcast and l…
With a warm front hanging around just to the north of the Potomac River and the forecast instability (see above) it looks like I’ll be “forced” to use some vacation hours to chase tomorrow afternoon. With wind speed shear expected but little or n…
