Amen, Jesse. East Coast chasing is challenging but rewarding as long as the chaser doesn’t expect to see a lot of tornadoes. I do get a kick out of being on a storm when it goes severe on a day that neither the SPC nor the local weather forecast off…
The models are showing the approaching cold front slowing down, moving the severe weather threat to later Sunday into Monday afternoon. The local models from Sterling WFO show a zero chance of thunderstorms this afternoon anywhere in Northern V…
The better weekend chasing choice is Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front, but once again I have other priorities that afternoon/evening. Thus I am pinning my hopes on late Saturday afternoon, which – per at least one model – should have decent …
This latest inrush of cool Canadian air has cooled us off considerably, with frost warning issued for areas west of here both this morning and for tomorrow morning. The strong breeze – gusting up to 29 mph – also make it feel like late March rather th…
The three clips in this video are from yesterday’s chase. Clip #1 is normal speed from my first observation point east of Culpeper, watching the development of the southern end of the line from which the severe storm eventually formed and plowed throu…
The SPC didn’t think Northern VA had enough atmospheric “ooomph” (that’s a technical term) for severe weather today, but when I noticed that a dissipating warm front was hanging around east of I-95 my severe weather antenna perked up as I knew the resu…
For a preview of today’s potential severe weather see the post over at StormsRUs.
The Day 1 convective outlook from the SPC has us under a Slight risk, with a 5% chance of tornadoes here in our area (a significant value for the Mid-Atlantic). The shear (both directional and speed) and CAPE values combine to provide a great-looking …
Wow! The Mississippi valley is under the gun today! That’s great for storm chasers – altho’ that’s not terrific chasing territory – but the residents there need to keep an eye on the sky today. Meanwhile we are under a slight risk for severe weather…
I thought this visual comparison would useful to illustrate the changes that can occur during spring. The above graphic is a 850 mb (~5000 ft up) forecast map for next Wednesday morning as the upper level low pressure spins away into the Atlantic Mari…
