A warm front looks like it will hang up and stall just south of us Saturday, keeping our region in the cool stable air with plenty of plain ole’ rain. Sunday looks more promising for convection as the warm front clears out and possibly some afternoon …
The models show the rain totals for tomorrow will approach 0.6 inches rather than the lighter amounts originally thought. The upper level system is wobbling further north in the latest model runs, providing us with more “wetness” than I thought at thi…
AccuWeather.com – WeatherMatrix | Severe Thunderstorms, Tornadoes, Lightning All Down in 2010At least I’m not alone in my mostly futile quest for chaseable storms this season!
An upper level low will trek from coast to coast over the next week and half, pushing a mention of showers and rain into our forecast. This low is forecast to form over northern California tomorrow evening (see graphic above) and then ponderously trek…
The long range GFS model is showing a definite cold air damming signature next weekend for the Mid-Atlantic. Even though a potent surface low is forecast to approach from the west the above graphic for 8 pm Saturday evening shows a stubborn cold pocke…
Looks like this coming weekend will sandwich a cloudy and somewhat damp – at least early in the day – Saturday between a sunny hot day in the mid-80’s tomorrow and a sunny cool day in the low 60’s Sunday. A cold front will plow through here tomorrow n…
Given that it’s April I don’t hold out a lot of hopes for chasing every week here in Virginia… but it sure would be nice. The next chance looks like Friday afternoon but I’m not sure I’ll be free to chase then. The next viable chance appears to be …
This graphic is from this morning’s 12Z (8:0o a.m.) run of the GFS forecast model and it shows a closed low pressure system at the 850 mb (~5000 ft up) level. Curiously, this feature doesn’t appear on the 500 mb charts, which is where these type syste…
This forecast graphic for 8:00 a.m. Wednesday shows a significant slug of rain headed our direction in contrast to the official NWS Sterling forecast for that day. If this were one model’s output I could dismiss it, but the longer range GFS model also…
Today is definitely a reward for putting up with July-like heat in April. In fact the next several days will fit into the category of “Rewards”, with high temperatures in the mid-60s to the mid-70’s and bright sunshine. A moisture-starved cold front …
