The cold front that was forecast to plow thru here tomorrow is now pushed off ’til Monday afternoon. As the graphic above shows (2:00 pm local time Monday) the frontal rain will be approaching us with an upper low pressure system still lurking off to …
The chances of squeezing in a March chase are dwindling. The models have consistently slowed down the approaching system to where the most rain will now be on Monday, and the surface low pressure is forecast to cross our area directly overhead. That …
The longer range models are converging on a solution that shows a cold front pushing through the Mid-Atlantic on Sunday afternoon. The moisture return is weak with dewpoints only in the 50’s, but the upper level winds at both 850 and 500 mb will be pr…
Not sure that’s a word, but it fits the weather this week. We have been awaiting this kind of weather for quite a while and it’s now here for a few days. With high temperatures at or above the 70 degree mark we will actually be above normal, which is…
The Rappahannock River is as angry looking as I’ve seen it for some time, so it’s a good thing the rain is just about over. Tomorrow should be cloudy but dry, and the rest of the week appears to be spectacularly warm and sunny. Another cold front is …
We had a decent convective line plow through here just after midnight last night, providing the first thunder and lightning of the 2010 season. Given the above graphic for next Sunday there may be potential for a chase that afternoon. The model graph…
It’s no wonder the weather forecast models have been wobbling back and forth with forecasts this week. Check out all the low pressure systems (circled “L”s) in the eastern half of the U.S. on the surface map above. A couple of these are surface refle…
I am still banging the drum for participation in next week’s statewide tornado drill to be conducted at 9:45 a.m. on March 16th. The Virginia Department of Emergency Management has a registration form for all participants, which will include schools, …
It seems that the models are losing enthusiasm for convective instability in our area this weekend, so my hopes for a Friday or Saturday chase are quickly dwindling. The cut off upper level low is apparently going to swing through here with heavy rain…
Our beautiful weather of the past couple of days is slowly fading away with the approach of a “cut off” low pressure system. This is an upper level feature that has been – literally – cut off from the main jet stream flow, resulting in very slow movem…
