I use “chase” very loosely with respect to tomorrow when a cold front pushes across the Old Dominion. GFS and NAM still disagree a bit on timing as well as the amount of instability so I’m not expecting a lot. It will be a chance to iron out a few more…
Given that SDS is rampant this month while awaiting the spring severe season to kick off I thought I’d repost this northern Virginia chase account from 2005: …
I chose not to chase today given that the best setup for doing so is well east of where I would consider going. But…I was out and about the Roanoke valley this morning and got to experience the cold frontal passage. Here’s what it looked like ~10:40 …
April 15th is notorious as Tax Day but could it also be a chase day in 2014? I haven’t been impressed with the model solutions for my chase region altho’ the SPC is calling for a 5% chance of severe storms over the far western Piedmont of Virginia:I’m …
Things started out well this morning when the SPC issued a Slight Risk for my target area, but when I combed through the models I didn’t see anything to justify that designation either at the surface or upper air. Sure enough the midday update dropped …
If I had been chasing out in the Plains today my initial target would have been just north of the OK/KS line and east of I-35…meaning I would be in the middle of a tornado watch and chasing a rotating storm east of Arkansas City at the moment. Unfort…
There may well be another Virginia chase opportunity this coming Friday on the heels of three successive days of SPC Slight Risks to the west. A cold front will cross Virginia Saturday morning but uplift ahead of a 500 mb shortwave could trigger storms…
Although today was only a marginal setup I headed out anyway to test out my new live streaming setup, which I did at a truck stop north of Danville. It worked better than I’d expected although there wasn’t much to see other than low ceilings and raindr…
The models have backed away from a decent chase setup tomorrow (Saturday) across southern Virginia. Per the latest runs a developing low pressure center is taking a track further east than earlier solutions. That will allow a surface wedge of cooler ai…
Check out the WPC forecast location of the low pressure center and warm front Saturday morning. With moisture return, enough CAPE for convection, and plenty of shear the ingredients are coming together for rotating storms in southern and southwestern V…
