This morning’s 12Z GFS run shows a continued trend for a potential Virginia chase setup Saturday afternoon. This run has bumped SBCAPE to >1000 j/kg and bulk shear well over 40 knots. All that gives rise to this supercell composite parameter map at …
Along with acceptable CAPE (near 500) and decent speed shear (~40 kts) east of the Blue Ridge the vertical velocities are looking good for convection per today’s 12Z GFS run. Here’s the 700 mb chart for 18Z next Saturday:Vertical velocities at 850 and …
Okay, today is officially the first day of astronomical spring. I am now on point for chase season here in Virginia and am haunting models for evidence of any opportunities. The first indication I can see via a waaaaaayyy out view from the GFS is for t…
Literally at the end of a week-long vacation I traveled back home just ahead of today’s potent squall line. The line was associated with an explosively developing low pressure system and strong cold front that is currently pouring very cold air into Vi…
At 9:45 EDT today Virginia will conduct a statewide tornado drill. Late tomorrow afternoon Virginia may see some severe storms as a strong cold front punches through. Here’s the SPC Day 2 convective outlook:A quick peek at the NAM and GFS indicate an a…
Tomorrow the statewide Virginia Tornado Drill will be conducted at 9:45 a.m. This is just in time for a small potential of severe weather on Wednesday as shown in this SPC Day 3 convective outlook:While I am excited and ready for the beginning of storm…
I made my March 1st deadline…but just barely. My latest storm chasing book (aka “a project to keep the author sane during winter months”) was just uploaded to Blurb.com as a publicly available item. Check it out here.Now, on to this year’s chasing!!
Now there’s something that doesn’t happen every year…a storm chase in Virginia during February. But with the models showing very impressive shear values plus a squall line pressing across the Old Dominion I couldn’t stay at home. That explains my oh-…
Any doubts I had were erased after watching the last few short range models runs (RAP and HRRR). I’m deploying to the Chatham VA vicinity (U.S. Rte 29) by 8 a.m. tomorrow morning to intercept this:15Z SCP graphic. Chatham at black dotThe supercell comp…
Received the proof copy of Storm Chasing Southern Virginia yesterday and have gone through it a couple of times. I found very few text errors (grammar, spelling, formatting, etc) but as usual the printed photos look a lot different than on my laptop sc…
