Sitting here in a state park monitoring radar and awaiting convective mayhem. The photo above is from our hotel parking lot in Stillwater OK as the southern end of a huge MCS (mesoscale convective system) swept through. Nothing exciting in Stillwater…
I was tempted to post a current radar view showing the absolute lack of storms in OK today, but I restrained myself. We are in Stillwater for the night, and the target for tomorrow is Pauls Valley. The models still show a pretty strong cap, but a fro…
Unless tomorrow morning’s model runs and SPC convective outlook look radically different, I’ve changed our target for tomorrow. It is now going to be the Stillwater OK vicinity, about an hour north of Oklahoma City. The cap in southern OK / northern …
Okay, maybe one more post before I leave to go stormchasing. In the weather pattern we’re currently under (the term “yucky” comes to mind often) the winds are out of the east / northeast, as evidenced by the low clouds coming from that compass quadran…
Right now I’m waffling about Thursday’s target area. The models are showing both insane amounts of convective potential (CAPE > 4000) offset by strong capping (caused by warm air aloft) in southern OK and northern TX. The SPC Day 3 discussion mention…
Given divergent model depictions of conditions on Thursday May 7th I have chosen a target area just northwest of Denton TX. At the moment the WRF model is forecasting very high CAPE’s and not much convective inhibition in this area. The disconcerting…
One problem with a damp, dreary weather pattern this time of year is that it’s difficult to keep the grass at a manageable height when the green stuff seems to be jumping out of the ground. The next forecast for sun is (appropriately) Sunday. On top …
Recent weather has been a prime example of one of spring’s less desirable weather features: cold air damming. Basically the setup involves a high pressure system over New England and a stalled frontal boundary not very far south of us. This produces…
A weak cold front slipped south of us today, hanging up for a few hours as an east/west line near Ashland. That situated us on the cooler side of the front and hopefully helped keep the windows open and the air conditioning off (it’s too early for tha…
To give my latest equipment suite a shakedown I headed out at 1400 today to catch some non-severe storms firing south of a front that stalled between here and Richmond. I ran into the northeastern portion of a large cell near Ashland and pulled off th…
