Given Hanna’s forecast track it appears that the potential for rotating storms will stay in southeastern Virginia, east of the center of the tropical system. With the overall timing it looks like most of the tornadic potential could occur overnight, w…
Between the National Hurricane Center’s forecast track for Hanna and the SPC’s Day 3 convective forecast it looks like Friday/Friday night may be wet, windy, and stormy for the Mid-Atlantic. It stands to reason, of course, since we have tickets to the…
With Gustav poised to hammer the Gulf Coast almost 3 years to the day from Katrina, those of us here in the Mid-Atlantic better keep our eyes on Hanna. If this forecast track is anywhere close to accurate next weekend will be very wet at the least, wi…
As articulated in this graphic from the National Hurricane Center the tropical season is in full swing today. Here in the Mid-Atlantic we’re still feeling the effects of the remnants of Fay, while several other systems (named and unnamed) are scooting…
Fay is stuck in a rut along with the Eastern Seaboard. The high pressure ridge that’s been providing us September-like weather in mid-August is squashing her ambitions to head our way. We may see some of the moisture this next week, but forecasts are…
Given the high pressure ridge settling in over the East Coast it now appears that Fay (and her potentially beneficial rains) will be squashed to our south. During chase season out on the Plains such a high pressure ridge is ominously termed a “Death R…
It appears that Florida and the southeastern U.S. has the first tropical system of the season to keep an eye on. The current NHC forecast track for Fay has it sliding just west of Florida’s west coast and making landfall in the panhandle:It’s still ea…
Given the lack of familiarity with the road system and the fact that I was navigating by myself, I can almost excuse myself from missing the funnel in these two pictures. Both were taken at 3:11 pm this past Sunday (10 August), and both have been heav…
Having been out of town all week (and arriving home waaaay too late last night) I wasn’t really inclined to chase this afternoon unless the storms encroached a self-imposed 10 mile radius of the house. They didn’t, so I didn’t, and I have no regrets …
When the models and forecasts all pointed to early convective initiation today I was able to rearrange schedules so as to leave home by 1230. My aim was to intercept a cell that had been severe (and even tornado) warned while still in the Shenandoah V…
