Tomorrow may bring a chase per the forecast, but today I’m resting on my laurels regarding the 23 July tornado in northern Spotsylvania county. I actually took a progression of pictures that shows the runup to the tornado that I declared. Here we hav…
Since we weren’t under any watches or warnings I didn’t make an effort to chase today, especially since I couldn’t get home until after 5:00 pm. As we ate dinner at a local restaurant a cell passed by just to our south, spitting out 3 distinct and lo…
Forecasts went out the window today. Firstly, the high temperature was nowhere near the 100 degree mark that some forecasters had trumpeted over the weekend. Secondly, even the SPC pulled in its horns and removed our area from their original slight r…
Not exactly excited yet about this potential as it all may happen near or after dark tomorrow. Haven’t checked the models yet for timing; I’ll get to that later this evening. But who knows? This chase season has been extraordinarily active here in …
I missed today’s chasing opportunities under a severe TS watch as I had the “privilege” of renting a truck, loading it with heavy furniture, then driving said truck 200 miles to my house and unloading said furniture. (Full disclosure: I did have help…
After playing with this picture taken at 8:47 pm on July 23rd looking north from the Ni River Middle School off Catharpin Road in Spotsylvania county, I decided to delineate a couple of features that popped into view. Outlined in blue are the edges of…
As I indicated in yesterday’s post I got out of the gate a bit too late yesterday. The storms began firing right around lunchtime and I wasn’t able to head out until 1:30 pm or so. Given that the main storm was nearing my position I decided to barrel…
Last night’s storm that exhibited rotation basically stalled and died in place, bringing only light showers east of I-95. Today’s storms fired early amid the throes of a prefrontal trough east of the mountains. I wasn’t able to begin the chase until …
Is this rotation I see on a hailstorm heading toward Fredericksburg? It seems to be strolling down US 17 with a gleam in its eye…and its seems to be holding together pretty well even after sunset. Stay tuned!
Looks like tomorrow may bring yet another late July chase. Models are showing enough instability and shear in the Mid-Atlantic to provide some long-lived updrafts, and with enough luck a mesoscale boundary or two may form (outflow from previous storms…
